Seeking a Way to Predict Baseball Injuries

July 8, 2009 – By Michael S. Schmidt – The New York Times

Los Angeles – Steve Conte, the Dodgers director of medical services and head athletic trainer pursues an actuarial approach to predicting how player’s bodies will fare. In Major League Baseball, players are breaking down in record numbers. Teams payed about a half-billion dollars last season to players on the disabled list.

Conte has had hands on interaction with hundreds of players before and after their injuries, and his observations and medical records inform his hypotheses. Conte also draws on the analytical prowess of David Zes and Adam Sugano, statisticians who teach at UCLA and Matt Marks, an employee in the Dodgers baseball operations department.

They are building mathematical formulas that they hope will show the chances a player will be injured withing the next season.

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